I see tremendous value in this play here today despite the Angels looking like they got on a role here winning the first three games of the series. The Jays will throw up a lefty and that means bad things for the Angels who have struggled all year vs. southpaws. Angels are scoring 1.45 runs less per 9 overall vs. LHP when compared with RHP and over their last 10 they are scoring just 2.73. Mark Buehrle has been on fire posting a 1.17 ERA over his last three and he has good numbers with a 3.57 ERA during hte day and a 3.12 ERA over his last 16 starts in the month of August. Toronto is also backed by a terrific bullpen that has nearly a 2 run advantage as they post a 2.36 ERA on the road while the Angels bullpen is just atrocious posting a 4.21 ERA at home and a 7.36 ERA over their last 10.

Angels bullpen will play a critical role because C.J. Wilson is making his 4th start in 16 days while his last three starts averaged 117 pitches. He's got to be gassed in this spot and he faces a Blue Jays team that has a .960 OPS in 119 AB against him.

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